Good Times My Fellow Punters!!

So the Euro Qualifiers yesterday were quite something!! Good Times,eh!? We won!! whether you went all out like ze German's ( marco reus! my God!) or were conservative. If you followed the predicted analysis, chances are your bet list is full of those green dots we love so much and some cash. The first half had my boxers in a knot when Bosnia's Dzeko scored  against Italy, I only had issues with 2 games. Italy's win and under 3.5 coupled with Andorra's home over 1.5. Second half, Immobile equalizes for the Italians, Andorra score at the 65th minute. I started sweating, the footballing god's were debating my fate. At the 80th minute I lit my last cigarette and started conniving how i would talk my way out my local bar bill. And then, BAM! what do yah know, Italy score!!, Andorra score the second goal at the 88TH!! Pesa ndani, Phombe leta, iko nini? hehehe. On to today's Mula:
I will narrow on odds that can win given the limited market today, i will revert to data analysis as my main indication on today's games.

Assyriska BK vs Utsiktens BK: This is the Swedish cup qualifier. Assyriska BK have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 2 home matches. Utsiktens BK have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 5 away matches. last head to head looks like this:
Assyriska BK 1-2 Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK 2-1 Assyriska BK
prediction: over2.5 or GG

France vs Norway women: The tournament's host meet Norway in today's match.France have enjoyed far more success than Norway in this fixture in recent times, as they’ve won three of the last five renewals. Norway are without a win during that time, though they did halt the French when the pair last met (2017), as they drew 1-1.
prediction: France win, France win and under 3.5 is also a worth while risk @ 1.95

Germany vs Spain women: The Germans are ranked number 2 in the world.  the Germans fared better on match-day one. Unlike the Spanish, they didn’t go a goal down, while they were facing tougher opposition. Couple this with the fact that they currently rank as the second-best team in the world and Martina Voss-Tecklenburg’s women deserve to come into this match as favorites.The Spanish are no push overs either, coming a goal down to put three past south Africa on match day one.
prediction: GG @2.05 high risk but worth it. You can safely put Germany 1x.

There you go Brave Souls. Place responsibly and always, Fall Forward. See you in the comments!

I have received some odds from the US OF A!!
SO bonus odds.
Minesotta united vs Sporting Kansas. GG
Dc united vs Philadephia Union         GG
I had also received Brazil vs Ireland 1 and under 3.5, the game was already in play. It came through THOU! Good Stuff.

Euro Qualifiers, As straightforward as they come!!

Is VIPI? My Fellow Brave Souls? Smile,Monday imepita. So yesterday, what a night of two halves,eh? we managed 4/5, not bad for a start. unless you went ahead and gave Ukraine a straight win @ odds of 1.10 in which case you won you lucky coward! So the bet list started suspiciously well, i got a massive hard on when Georgia equalized against Sweden,Big odd ndani! Ukraine scored a fast one and Poland's assassins started earning their keep against Israel with Piatek scoring the first goal, you just had to know lewandoski was hovering somewhere with bad intentions.
Then Spain scored, the goal was disallowed, Luxembourg scored an equalizer, the goal was disallowed. My Mirraa started tasting funny and I started getting that eerie feeling that the footballing gods were debating on whether to shaft me. At halftime, i went through my bet list. i had caught a lucky break, Betpawa had no option of betting on GG and over 2.5 so i had just gone over 2.5 goals,iko ndani. all i needed was 2 goals a piece from Spain and Norway, i checked the stats of both games, my confidence levels were rejuvenated. i dint bother with Ukraine at all.
Second half, Lewandoski and Co. tear Israel apart (that's a bad Maffk right there) Norway score 2, Spain Scores 3. And then Ukraine which I had given the least of my attention @ over 2.5 goals, goes silent. There you go boys, its always the good girls that break your heart when they play you with the Boda guy, or worst still slip something in your drink just when you thought you were about to score a hat trick. 1-0 to Ukraine, the footballing gods can be pricks! Shenzi! Anyway, on to the Mula!!
Today's games look oddly suited for the Persimist, watu wa No Goal and under 2.5 like my friend https://web.facebook.com/muchiri.kwanza .

Albania vs France: Andorra will play a massive match when they will host World Champions France on Tuesday night. The Estadi Nacional d’Andorra holds just 3,000 fans and a lack of atmosphere and an artificial pitch will be the biggest obstacles facing France.back France to be winning at 15 minutes, the price is decent value and we expect the champions to start strong after their defeat against Turkey in their last game.
verdict: First half over 1.5 goals, or low risk @ France win and handicap -2 @ a respectable 1.28 odds.

Germany vs Estonia: This two teams have never met before. Ah!..Ze germanz!! Mean, efficient Scoring machines (German engineering in their DNA). I m a big Bundesliga fan so my opinion might be biased, The Germans won 2-0 at Belarus on Saturday night, a victory which saw them hardly break a sweat. That win followed up a 3-2 success over Holland in their opening group game.Estonia were beaten 2-1 at home by Northern Ireland on Saturday, despite leading for almost an hour of the game. Estonia's main aim here will be to avoid a mauling from the likes of Leroy Sane, Ilkay Gundogan and new sensation Nico Schulz.
Verdict: over 3.5 goals is a sensible 1.4 odds , you can risk half time over 1.5 or take a pick of a goal scorer.

Andorra vs Moldova: Albania lost their last game against Iceland which ended in a 1-0 defeat. Their last home game ended in a 2-0 defeat against Turkey and they have just 1 win from their last 3 matches. But that win was against Andorra which was expected and they were only able to win 3-0 in a game that many were expecting to have more goals in it for them.
Fortunately for Albania, Moldova looked very poor at the back in their only previous away match in Group H.Moldova are a very poor side who do not travel well, they have just 1 win away from home in the last 10 months and that was a very close match against San Marino.
Verdict: I will Stick my neck out for Andorra over 1.5 team goals. the home win seems a banker bet.

Azerbaijan vs Slovakia: Baku Stadium!! I still get nightmares from that Europa league final. Anyway,The nations have not played each other since 2001 when Azerbaijan at home won 2-0.
The nations have only placed each other twice with one win a piece. There is a 100% record to see over 1.5 goals. Azerbaijan have to get something here if they hope to qualify via playoffs, they know Slovakia are poor travelers, coupled with how intimidating they can be at Baku Stadium, you cannot right off an outright win.
Verdict: Azerbaijan to score @ 1.78 odds.

Italy vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: Italy will win but it is interesting as we will witness two nations that can defend. It is why we think that the away side will try and make this a frustrating night for the Italians. Because we think Bosnia will start with an almost five man defence our pick here will be to back them to win on the handicap which is going to offer us some very good value. Otherwise we do expect at home Italy to get the victory.
Verdict: This game is a clear under 2.5, but being a superstitious punter, I will go all out for a clear Italian win and under 3.5 @1.94 odds. the alternate option is giving Bosnia a handicap win+3 and hitting the pillows @ odd of 1.24.
So there you go fellow punters!! May the footballing gods favor you. See you in the comments and remember Fall Forward!

P.S Some of you guys DM'd me with your single bets winnings. Good staff, if it works for you,do your thing brother.

The Euro's qualification- the best shot at landing some good Monday chums!!

This is my maiden blog, one of the many i hope to post on a daily basis for many moons to come Inshallah. So its only fair to give a little background on myself. I am Kenyan,I am a football fanatic. I live,breath and dream football. I follow different leagues in the world, but i have a weird infatuation with high scoring leagues. I am an adrenaline Junkie, so goals excite me, i subscribe to that suicidal 'school of thought' of winning 4-3 rather than 1-0. So its only natural for me to follow the Bundesliga, eredivise, eustonia, Premiere leugue and of course locally Zoo Kericho.
So most of my predictions will have a rather clear pattern of : Wins, over 2.5, GG and over 1.5 (when desperately broke). I rarely stick my neck out for under 2.5, i am afflicted by a 'goals curse' my good friend Jimmie Jones accurately pointed out. point of reference: Greece vs Italy last Friday, the bloody game went over at halftime! Saturday .Scotland vs Cyprus, that fucker went 2-1 in the last 10 minutes of the match. So..yeah, Screw under 2.5. To wind up my long intro. I have a thing about numbers, so i studied something related in Campus and one thing i can assure you my frien, numbers and statistics don't lie. so for the last 4 or so years, i have been applying this knowledge to make the extra shilling from Muindi. But disclaimer, football can be a bitch, sometimes it just depends on which drink the footballing gods are sipping. Just ask Guys who bet on GG during Turkey vs France game..we were many and we were shafted by Mbambe and Co.

On to the Mula:
Spain vs Sweden: Sweden is a great team but Spain is on another level. since screwing up the world cup, they have been inflicting pain and vengeance on their euro opponents with extreme prejudice.

• Spain won the last two games.
• Sweden last recorded a victory against this opponent thirteen years back.
• Sweden conceded two or more goals in both of the last two fixtures.
• Spain holds a 100% winning record at home.

Bet on Spain kichwa; for value seekers, Spain and over 1.5

Faroe Islands vs Norway: The whipping boys of the group are going against the unluckiest Norway team in the group. Little facts about Norway, they have played against Spain: No chance there but nearly caused an upset. Sweden: Fucked up a 2 goal lead to go down 2-3 in the 90+1, and equalized 3-3 at 90+7(fergie time?)  Romania: lead 2-0 and again managed to mess it up to 2-2 at 90+1!! This will be a game ya mabao tu.
Bet on Norway over 1.5 goals and silently move away.

Poland vs Israel: I love goals, this one has the potential to be a goal fest. This is a match between the top two teams in the group and the top  scoring striker in the qualifiers,Israel's  Eran Zehavi vs that Polish assassin, Robert Lewandowski and his wing man Krzysztof Piatek. will It will be a long night for the goalkeepers on both ends ? I hope so.

Both teams found the back of the net in all of the ties.

Every single game had three or more goals.

At home, Poland so far enjoys a 100% winning record.

Israel conceded three or more goals in all of the matches where Poland played hosts.

verdict: I am sticking my neck out for this one. GG and over 2.5, over 1.5 seems like a banker so does a Polish win.

Denmark vs Georgia: This game requires big balls my frien. 

• Denmark holds a 100% unbeaten record against this team.
• Except for a single draw in 2004, the stat would have been a 100% winning record.
• Georgia has conceded two or more goals in every single meeting.
• Both teams found the back of the net in all of the h2h ties so far.

I do not see any value in the 1.27 odds given for a Danish win. Given that Georgia averaged two goals per game in that group, while they have warmed up for this trip by beating Gibraltar 3-0. That has put them above Denmark in the group. 

Bet on GG If and only If your risk appetite is high, otherwise stick to the Danish win and enjoy the game. the GG  betting ODD  is a mouth watering 2.5!

Ukraine vs Luxembourg: I will not talk about Ukraine's form after the 5-0 demolition of Serbia, i will concentrate on Luxembourg's defensive woes. Luxembourg have lacked the quality to keep clean sheets, which is why they’ve conceded in each of their three qualifiers so far, but they’ve certainly offered a good amount going forward, as they average 1.77 expected goals for and have scored in each of their three games in Group B.
Given the statistics offered above. i see no value in going for a Ukraine win at 1.09 odds.

Bet on over 2.5.

So there you go you punters, those are my 15 odds for the day and a good excuse to end up at your local joint to Fuliza a  drink on a Cold Monday night. Remember to stake what you can afford to lose. Don,t touch your rent,school fee or Pesa ya Stock. 
Fall Forward!! See you in the comments!!